Skip to content

Max Verstappen's slim path to a 2026 F1 title hinges on Abu Dhabi

After the Singapore Grand Prix, Verstappen trails Kimi Antonelli by 119 points and must rely on the remaining Middle East races to stay in contention.

By ABU DHABI — 2 min read

AI-assisted This article was drafted with AI assistance and reviewed by an AbuDhabi.News editor before publication. See our editorial policy for the full workflow.

Formula 1 race event at Yas Marina Circuit, Abu Dhabi during sunset.
Illustrative photo: Abed Ismail / Pexels
0
AI summaryauto-generated
  • 1Verstappen trails Antonelli by 119 points after Singapore.
  • 2His title hopes depend on the Qatar and Abu Dhabi races being held.
  • 3If the season ends in Imola, Verstappen must win every remaining race.

Max Verstappen still has a chance to win the 2026 F1 title.

After the Singapore Grand Prix, there are officially still six Grands Prix to go in 2026. Officially, F1 is still planning to hold the Grands Prix in Qatar and Abu Dhabi, but there is still a chance that the season will end with a Grand Prix in Imola.

Championship math after Singapore

Before the Singapore Grand Prix, Verstappen was 129 points behind championship leader Kimi Antonelli. Thanks to Verstappen's victory and Antonelli's third place, that gap is now 119 points. If Qatar and Abu Dhabi go ahead, there will be six Grands Prix and therefore 150 points at stake in 2026. If the season ends in Imola with a single‑race weekend, only 125 points will remain available after Singapore.

With six Grands Prix remaining, Antonelli could score no more than 30 points if Verstappen is to become world champion. This means Antonelli may score an average of no more than five points per Grand Prix. If Antonelli scores 30 points, Verstappen must win every GP.

Scenarios for a title

Verstappen will have to win at least twice while Antonelli can score hardly any more points. In theory, Verstappen could also win the world title with just two victories, but Antonelli would then be allowed to score only two points in six Grands Prix. If Verstappen wins just one GP, he cannot score enough points to overtake Antonelli.

If Formula 1 does not go to Qatar and Abu Dhabi in 2026, but instead ends the season with a single race in Imola, there will still be 125 points available to the F1 drivers after Singapore. With a gap of 119 points and five Grands Prix remaining, this means Verstappen will have to win every race to have any chance of overtaking Antonelli. Verstappen will also need Antonelli to suffer a great deal of bad luck to secure a fifth world title in 2026. Antonelli may score a maximum of five points if Verstappen is to become world champion.

How did this story make you feel?

Share this story

Follow Us

Source:gpblog.com

Written by

AbuDhabi.News Newsroom

Reporting from Abu Dhabi — independent, on the ground, and built on local sources.